Archive for the ‘Int’l Politics’ Category
it seems that everybody sing and laugh after Gaddafi’s era is close to its end. Few days ago, rebels toke Gaddafi’s hometown, Tripoli, by force. But unfortunatelly, Gaddafi was gone. He go underground to save himself. Meanwhile, his supporter still fight back and defend Tripoli. I believe that they will lose Tripoli since rebels and NATO are remain strong. Referring to the fact, Gaddafi then prepare himself from the underground to negotiate with the rebel. This is a way to save himself, to avoid end story like Saddam Husein of Iraq.
Moussa Ibrahim, Muammar Gaddafi‘s spokesman, has reportedly told the Associated Press news agency that the toppled Libyan leader is ready to negotiate with the rebels to form a transitional government.
I Just realized that Chaves and Gaddafi’s friendship is a deadly friendship. Just take a look at Chaves latest letter to Gaddafi. The letter shows Cahves’ support to Gaddafi’s stand in Libya. It is actually a deadly friendship for several reasons. Fist, Chaves’ support will make Gaddafi psychologically stronger. Chaves’ support shows that Gaddafi still have a close friend. It is actually have a negative impact. Gaddafi that recently weaker maybe become stronger again. It also means, there will be more casualties in Libya due to Gaddafi’s increasing insanity. Second, Chaves’s support shows the world that Gaddafi still have support. There are several possibilities regarding the support. Gaddafi may use Chaves to strengthen its military power. or, Gaddafi will use it to win back Libyans heart and mind.
To be a prosperous country is not always lead to a stability and security. Prospers and developed countries still have their own problems. Recent Norway double attack confirmed my argument. Prosperity always weaken people’s mental health. Subsequently, too many paranoid that you could find in the developed countries. They fear of many things. Sometimes, they fear of Islam. At some case, too many people also fear of developing countries people. They fear of poor people. Recent Oslo suspect confirmed this argument. The Oslo suspect fear of Islam and plan a Christian War. I believe that this people is crazy. And I believe that too many people as psychopathic as the Oslo suspect.
The Norwegian man charged Saturday with a pair of attacks in Oslo that killed at least 92 people left behind a detailed manifesto outlining his preparations and calling for a Christian war to defend Europe against the threat of Muslim domination, according to Norwegian and American officials familiar with the investigation.
Finally, a late-night bailout safe Eurozone. I don’t know what the number actually said. I think that the problem is very complicated. Everybody said that Eurozone is in trouble. But then, it is interesting that the Eurozone is saved by a late-night bailout. The late-night bailout actually have been long awaited by commentators. When, the late-night bailout agreed, it is praised. As Independed said, the bailout heralds a new dawn for Eurozone. So, one problem solved. But we still have US debt ceiling problem. If the problem persist till August, we’ll face another world economic crisis. Just wait, what will happen with US debt ceiling problem.
I thought that Norway is the most stable country in the world. But recent double attacks in Norway just scattered my mind. First attack, is bomb attack at the government offices. It is just a common terrorist attack. You could find the same modus operandi in Afghanistan and Iraq. The bomb killed seven people and wounded 15 others. The second attack, is more terrible than the first attack. In the second attack, a man dressed as a police officer entered a youth camp on the island of Utoya, 19 miles northwest of Oslo, Norwegia. The police officer just opened fire. 80 teenager dead on the incident. It is shocking. Norway is a very stable country. And the such double attacks that killed 87 people in a day just scattered my mind. So, stability and prosperity won’t ensure that terrorism never happened. Therefore, we need more comprehensive approach to deal with terrorism.
Behavior agreement that is agreed among claimants on South China Sea dispute are the most important milestone. It is important for several reason. First, the agreement will make the dispute on the South China Sea is predicable and manageable. Subsequently, it will lead to the regional stability. Second, the agreement is the first step to the next peace agreement. Once the stability is ensured and the dispute is managed, it just will be easier to setup a peace agreement regarding the dispute. But the next question, will China or other claimants comply to the agreement for a while? I believe that the claimants will be quite for a while. They will use the break to setup more comprehensive strategy to claim the resource-rich South China Sea. If this prediction accurate, we have to be cautious to the break. There will be more complicated dispute on the region because each claimants will come with more comprehensive strategy to claim the disputed area.
It is a shocking news for me that Myanmar is going to undertake its nuclear plans. Al Jazeera just make it clear that Myanmar is actually has “nuclear plans”. There are evidence that proofed by Journalist from the Norway-based Democratic Voice of Burma (DVB). They have been gathering information about secret military projects in Myanmar for years. If this is true, it will be a bad news. If Myanmar are going to become a nuclear power, Myanmar are likely to be the most powerful yet dangerous country in Southeast Asia for several reason. First, for years the stability of ASEAN is existed because there is no nuclear power in the region. If there suddenly exist, there will be a significant distribution of power in the ASEAN. Myanmar will be the most powerful. Even worser, Myanmar will be uncontrollable by the norm and binding code. Subsequently, Myanmar will be an important variable that determine ASEAN stability. is Just like how North Korea operate in the East Asia. So, it is important to be cautious regarding the issues.